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I've speculated before that the Lib Dem policy agenda is linked to the stars. Last time, the morning after the longest solar eclipse of the century Nick Clegg announced he was dropping a lot of key policy pledges including the scrapping of tuition fees. Before that Uranus reached it's closest point to earth and sure enough the next day they U-turned on entering the Euro. Back in 2007 they changed their minds on an EU referendum less than 24 hours after another solar eclipse.

However my theory looked damaged a fortnight ago. The leonids meteor shower gave one of the strongest and most visible displays of recent years. I stood in my garden watching the shooting stars cross the sky. As they began to slow and thin out I went back inside and wondered what policy would change tomorrow. I logged on to my computer and scanned the news sites. Nothing yet. Not to worry I thought, it's only been a few hours. The next morning I scanned the papers. Still nothing. Maybe they just haven't announced it yet? However the days passed with still nothing. I began to think terrible things. What if the Lib Dems acually come up with their policies on their own? What if they actually think them through and decide they are a good idea. No I thought. Nobody is that stupid surely? But then a week had passed and the doubts become stronger. What if they do genuinely pick these policies of their own accord and not because the little green men who talk to them at night tell them to? The world seemed a darker place with that possibility lurking over me. The Lib Dems might actually be reasoning sentient beings in their own right. The horror...

Still fortunately I was wrong. It has taken them nearly a fortnight but they have finally gotten around to it. Today their mansion tax has "changed". The threshold has doubled as has the levy. The world is right again and all thoughts of the Lib Dems being a genuine political party are once more dismissed from my mind. Order is restored

*DISCLAIMER: I DO NOT ACTUALLY BELIEVE LIB DEM POLICY IS DICTATED BY ASTROLOGICAL EVENTS. I AM NOT A NUT JOB. THE ABOVE IS MEANT PURELY TO ENTERTAIN AND IF YOU TAKE IT SERIOUSLY MY ONLY RESPONSE WILL BE TO REFER YOU TO A PYSCHIATRIST*
The latest polls are looking more favourable for the Conservatives after the scare in midweek. Not only did they return to a ten point advantage they also make clear gains in the all important Northern Labour strongholds. However it's not enough. Even the lead they have will not create a majority let alone a working one which Cameron will need to push through some of his more controversial policies (especially with these more rebellious new MPs).


It's difficult to see where to go from here. The Cameron project has gone about as far as it can in terms of winning new people over. It may continue to garner a few more supporters but realistically the majority who were going to be convinced already have been. Unfortunately for Dave it isn't enough (or at least not enough in the right places). He therefore needs some help.

UKIP's offer to disband if the Conservatives were to offer a Lisbon Treaty referendum must have then been at least a little bit tempting. While it will confirm the perceptions in many people's minds that UKIP are just the Euro-sceptic Tories that is something for Lord Malcolm Everard MacLaren Pearson, Baron of Rannoch to worry about (if he's not too busy attempting to change his name to something less Bond-villainy).

Cameron instead will have to worry about whether he should have accepted the deal. I doubt he actually spent that much time considering it. Too many of the grass roots would have rebelled and it might have even cost him more votes than he would have gained. Still I would wager that on election night, especially if it's not going as well as he hopes, that a little niggling thought will pass through his head that maybe, just maybe, he should have accepted.

While UKIP are unlikely to get more than a million votes and there's no guarantee that any more than half of those would automatically switch to the Tories it is undeniable that they could well be the difference between a win and a loss, a majority and a hung parliament, a landslide and a government that has to appease every backbencher with a grudge.

After all in 2005 UKIP (and to a small extent Veritas) cost the Tories 27 seats. Estimates vary but this could rise into the fourties or even fifties this year. Many of these are seats the Conservatives cannot afford to lose. They have to pull off an unprecedented swing and even if UKIP make no progress at all, 27 seats could still be the deciding factor.

As I said, Cameron probably made the right call. It could have quite easily cost him more votes than it gained and as I have previously said; I don't think an immediate referendum is the best course for Britain. However it is no longer good enough to dismiss UKIP as "loonies, fruitcakes and closet racists". It wasn't true 3 years ago and now that they are the second UK party in the European Parliament, earning the votes of some 2.5 million people it is certainly not the case.

My suggestions: make a tougher commitment in the manifesto on the European issue (my suggestion can be found here), welcome rather than sideline those of a more Euro-sceptic stance within the party, offer to work more closely with UKIP in the European parliament and local councils and, immediately and most importantly, drop the ban on MPs and candidates signing the Better Off Out pledge. Not only is it authoritarian and outdated it is also deeply hypocritical.

I do not expect every Tory to be a eurosceptic but the majority are. To deny MPs from pledging support for the opinions of the majority while allowing those ardent holders of the minority view onto your front bench is laughable, or at least it would be if it weren't so petty and single minded.
I am about to head out for a Hagueathon (a highly irresponsible afternoon/ evening of alcoholism with the objectives of both honouring William Hague's 14 pint-a-night student boast and making Guardian readers tut) so only a half dozen this week:

  1. Dan Hannan on why Baroness Ashton's appointment is a bad thing and why women should be appointed on their merits (Guardian and Telegraph respectively)

  2. David Davies is on top form in the House (via Working Class Tory)

  3. Harry Phibbs articulates the case for universities being elitist.

  4. Lots of talk of a hung parliament this week. Jonathon Isaby pondered whether it would be a bad thing for the Lib Dems while Damian Thompson considered what the actual political ramifications would be, particularly to the Cameron project.

  5. Climategate was also another topic of much talk this week. Viscount Monckton gave one of the better and more angry reports.

  6. Speculation was rife on whether Cameron could be more than just Labour-lite in the WSJ. His flirtation with supply side cuts led them to conclude... probably...maybe.

If I'm still alive/ not too busy clutching my head then I shall return tomorrow hopefully with some analysis of the latest polls and UKIP's new leader. In the mean time please enjoy this:




Free speech is a double edged sword. It may be old but it still cracks me up.
As I said a couple of weeks ago:

"being a politics student gives you the time, opportunity and in many cases the compulsion to read things one might not ordinarily read in day to day life"

Then it was a variety of speeches and letters by Stanley Baldwin. More recently Max Weber's writings have been the subject of my studies. I will not offer as extensive a comment as I did on Baldwin. Let me simply say that the following passage seems strangely pertinent to the Iraq inquiry that has begun today although the words "nation" and "country" might well be replaced with the name of a certain former Prime Minister. Other than that I shall leave you to make your own conclusions:

On the aftermath of WW1 in a lecture given by Weber in January 1919:

It was concluded that all documents should be published, especially those which placed the burden of guilt on our country, and that a confession of guilt should be made on the basis of these documents - unilaterally, unconditionally, regardless of the consequences. The politician will take the view that the upshot of this will not serve the course of truth, but rather that truth will certainly be obscured by the misuse of the documents and passions they unleash. He will take the view that the only productive approach would be a systematic, comprehensive investigation, conducted by disinterested parties; any other way of proceeding could have consequences for the nation which could not be repaired in decades.
Tina Fey mocks Palin and reprises impression:



Palin 2012 trailer (new version - now working):

             The most striking thing about von Rompuy to date is his anonymity. Think of the line-up at international gatherings to come: Obama, Medvedev, Hu Jintao and — well, the other one. . .what’s his face, the EU guy.

  1. Philip Johnston continued the honourable work of attacking John Bercow. A pass time I too share.

  2. ConHome pulled up an interesting poll suggesting the Tories are now considered better placed to tackle poverty.

  3. Young Independence Chairman Michael Heaver pondered whether UKIP should abandon their pledge not to stand against Better Off Out candidates.

  4. Why the "halve the budget deficit" pledge will doom us all was explained over at Keep Right Online

  5. LfaT questioned whether Cameron is already becoming too dominated by Lobbyists.

  6. Dizzy caught out Schools Sec. Ed Balls on some GCSE maths

  7. Terrible Tory Girl posted a few t-shirt slogans derived from Sun headlines and asked which one we would like to see her in. I may have to make a purchase.

  8. Cranmer gave (predictably) the best account and analysis of Cameron's appearance on Songs of Praise.

  9. Labour MP Tom Harris shot down his fellow MPs and candidates who are calling for electoral reform.

  10. Finally Bevanite Ellie/ Stilettoed Socialist/ Ellie Gellard won in her campaign to get the Against the Odds video on television. I may have issues with the video itself but it is still great to see such an achievment from a blogger/ twitterer. Well done and full credit.
That's all for this week.
    Guido Fawkes' latest "Guy News" segment starring Tory Bear and Emily no mates can be found here. It gives Labour's latest party political broadcast (the against the odds video) a thorough going over and is well worth a watch.

    Still there is one innacuracy they don't seem to have picked up on. It comes about 40 seconds into the video when the slightly creepy sounding voiceover man says the following:

    "At one point it seemed impossible to stop the tide of fascism, until Cable Street and a few good men and women got in the way"




    Surely they are not trying to claim any credit for the events of the Battle of Cable Street?

    Let us just remind ourselves of the details of that event. The battle took place when a British Union of Fascists (BUF) met with barricades erected by anti fascist protestors. Leading the BUF was one Oswald Mosley. Let us briefly consider him:

    He was a Labour junior minister who resigned in May 1930 to form the "New Party" earning the support of a chap called Aneurin "Nye" Bevan. Name ring a bell? Probably from 35 seconds into the same video:




    Still not to worry. The party collapsed after the 1931 election and Mosley went on to form the BUF with the packing of the Mail and... the Daily Mirror. Again that sounds vaguely familiar. Perhaps it is from 10 seconds into the video?




    So like me I'm assuming you are wondering what connection the Labour party had to stopping the BUF. If anything it looks like they had more to do with the other side. Still in the interests of fairness let us look at who made up the counter protest. Wikipedia is kind enough to sumarise it as "local Jewish, socialist, anarchist, Irish and communist groups". No mention of the Labour party there...

    In fact the only, very tenuous connection you could draw is that during the 1920s and 30s the Labour party had an uneasy on-off relationship with the Communist party. However considering they banned members from attending the counter protest, expelled those that did and organised another event on the other side of London to draw them away it is difficult to even make that connection.

    Another in the long string of errors and gaffes that makes up this video but an important one I feel.
    There seems to be some anger over the new European appointments but really my impression of the the general mood is just "it could have been worse".

    Iain Dale sums it up best in saying:

    No offence to Baroness Ashton and Mr Rumpy Pumpy, but seriously, is that the best they can do?

    It really is quite pathetic but demonstrates my point that the roles are ridiculous to the extent of impossibility. I said in my post last month that they "would be gagged on so many issues and inevitably biased on the rest" and I stand by that. The reason two complete nonentities have been picked is because the jobs can't possibly sustain any real scrutiny or action. Of course they could have just acknowledged this and disbanded the roles but that would go against "the project".

    Add two more ridiculously over-inflated and unjustified salaries to our tab.


    "The democratic party has moderates, liberals and conservative democrats"
    "and communists"
    "no socialists"
    "socialists, I'm sorry socialists, that's what I meant, I knew it was something like that, I couldn't remember if it was communists or socialists"
    Loving the current results of the YouGov quickpoll:

    Q. Is "big state" the problem or the solution to society’s ills?




    You can join YouGov here and earn money for expressing your opinions.

    17 Nov 2009

    4
    Let me start with a disclaimer: I think the Sun handled the Janes letter badly and think Cameron should condemn them for it. What I do disapprove of is people, particularly Labour supporters, using it as a be all and end all excuse to condemn the paper.

    They made a bad editorial choice. That does not make them the preferred paper of Satan as seems to be implied. If a Labour supporter does not like the Sun because of it's political alleigance why do they need further excuse to not buy it. It's reason enough for me to not buy the Mirror it should be for them.

    It has been made perfectly clear to the editors that the majority of the general public and, most importantly to them, their readers disapprove of the way it was handled. That should be the end of it. Instead many seem determined to drag as much political capital out of it as possible and in doing so expose their own hypocrisy.


    As I have said I think this latest scandal was a bad choice but not reason to condemn the paper in it's entirety. It is very easy to carriacature it as a sexist dumbed down rag but that is certainly only half the truth and very ironic when it comes from Labour supporters. After all let us not forget the frequent exclusive interviews and columns Tony Blair gave the paper pre 1997 which resulted in the "Sun Backs Blair" headline seen to the right.


    The fact is that Simon Cowell was fairly close to the mark when he said "The Sun is Britain in a newspaper. It.. manages to capture the mood of the nation". Like it or not it sells 3 million copies every day reaching an estimated 8 million people. This gives it the highest circulation in the country and makes it fairly ignorant to dismiss it out of question.


    The next line of offence usually offered is that this is not the first incident where they got it badly wrong. Their coverage of the Hillsborough disaster was famously offensive and very misjudged. However they did apologise strongly (which some parents of victims did accept and welcome) and replaced the entire team responsible. As with the current scandal this does not excuse their coverage but considering Labour courted and welcomed the papers support before they apologised it is incredibly hypocritical for them to drag it up now.



    Still covering for their sins is only half the image. They have acted badly in the past but they have also acted admirably. It was under their encouragement and support that the Band Aid 20 single was made and their continued coverage in no small part led to the single raising in excess of £3 million for victims of poverty.


    Their continued campaign in support of Help the Heroes raised more than £7 million in the charities first year and continues to raise much needed money to help those who give so much in the service of our country.


    Their Free Books for Schools campaign has put 3.5 million books into schools the length and breadth of this country at a cost of nearly £20 million.


    They also wrote and published two books on history and science. The former was described as an "ideal" teaching aid by David Blunkett while the latter was hailed as a breakthrough for science teachers by Alan Johnson.

    So yes, their coverage of the letter fiasco was poor at best but to dismiss the paper because of it is ignorant and obtuse. To dismiss the paper as a Labour supporter is not only these things but also demonstrates a deep strain of hypocrisy. It has made some bad calls in isolated incidents but this does not warrant it's dismissal and like it or not it is still the premier daily paper in the country.
    The TaxPayers Alliance have finally got round to uploading the cinema advert they premiered at the Freedom Zone at Tory Conference. Enjoy:



    Hat tip to Tory Bear

    15 Nov 2009

    3


    a few favourite lines:

    "spending taxes like water, no tomorrow so I borrow each financial quarter"

    "No one knew house prices would go down like that", "I'll tax you 50p in the pound like that", "my financial regulation is quite unsound like that"

    "These players fiddled their expenses, I'm a safe pair of hands, I'll get your vote, I've got no moat cause I'm the son of a manse"

    "When I spend like I planned, aint a tax penny left, I'll go cap in my hand to the I to the M to the F"

    Hilarious although tinged with sadness at how true it is.
    John Bercow is today demanding that new expenses rules "must not be watered down". This is in the same week that he spent £45,000 on his grace and favour flat and his wife was announced as a Labour candidate.

    I despair. I don't think I can sum up the energy to even properly fisk him again. You can read what I said the last two times here and here. I don't know what to add. He is clearly beyond help. As I have said before he seems to have absolutely no idea what his job entails.

    There is one silver lining though. He did say this:

    "I don't think my job as Speaker is to be a shop steward for Members of Parliament"

    He seems to closing in on ruling out one possibility. He's not sure but he doesn't think it's being a shop steward in the House of Commons. Well that's a relief. It only took him 5 months to get rid of one thing his job isn't. If he takes encouragement from this early success and speeds up his process of elimination he might be somewhere close to identifying his real job by the end of the century.
    The Times reports this morning that Gordon is to engage in yet another U-turn. Is anyone else getting dizzy? Quite how they are going to keep to one set of policies in the build up to an election is anyone's guess.

    This particular U-turn is over (or should that be around) the issue of childcare tax breaks. You can read the full story here.

    This like the many before it shows how urgent the need for a general election in this country is. Obviously I would like that to end in a Tory victory and a party who are ready and capable to govern taking office. If however I temporarily consider the worst case scenario of a Labour victory then I am forced to conclude that even that would be better than this present farce.

    Labour's government is crippled by incompetence and an impotence in power. If they are elected again then at least they can stop this pathetic scurrying to prevent losing anymore votes at the cost of taxpayer's money, international dignity and any sovereignty they still have left. They could then govern (such as they can) with some level of legitimacy and hopefully with backbench daggers sheathed.

    Come on Gordon. For your sake, for your party's sake and above all for the country's sake, call a election.
    I missed last weeks list so some of these are a little older but still worth a read:

    1. Iain Dale gave a calm, considered and respectful analysis over the mispelt letter fiasco. Wish Cameron would follow suit.

    2. Boris gave an honest and clear cut answer  as to why we are in Afghanistan. Wish Brown could follow suit.

    3. Mark Reckons picked up on the possibility of Brown misleading parliament. Very easy to make snide remarks along the lines of "wouldn't be the first time" but could be interesting to see if anything actually comes of this.

    4. Monday saw the 20th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin wall. I was out drinking. Donal Blaney was criticising the Beeb for failing to mention Reagan. Valid but much less fun.

    5. While on the topic Dan Taylor over at Right Perspective gave in and came round to my way of thinking by calling for the privatisation of the BBC. Now do it on 5 live.

    6. Returning to the topic of the fallen wall: Monday saw Fausty represent a case for the EU being comparable to the Soviet Union while Tim Montgomerie offered a short but fair minded piece arguing that we should refrain from such comparison.

    7. A Very British Dude made a concise argument out of the convoluted case on why Libertarians should oppose the DNA database. Well worth a read.

    8. Another piece from Iain Dale saw him criticising Labour for failing to honour Clement Atlee. Not that we expect much else from them.

    9. Guido gave a very entertaining summing up of all of Gordon Brown's reverse Midas touches including his latest effort in Coventry

    10. This week's (or fortnight's) favourite however has to be Ranting Stan making the impassioned point that if UKIP want to make any real progress they need to stop blaming the EU for everything as though leaving will result in utopia. It hinders real debate and alienates supporters. I couldn't agree more. The EU maybe the biggest fish but it hasn't eaten all the other plankton yet.
    Dan on fine form attacking the standard arguments for EU integration and explaining what we need to do with power once we get it back:

    The Glasgow North East by-election results are in and as expected Labour's candidate, Willie Bain, won the seat with an easy majority. Clearly Labour's cowardice in leaving the constituency without an MP for nearly 6 months wasn't enough of an issue to residents. However Mr Bain's pronouncement's after his victory are, even for a by-election candidate, excessive and laughable.

    My first reaction was that he bears a striking and frankly a scary resemblance to John Simm playing the Master in Doctor Who (for non fans he became an MP, then Prime Minister, then rained destruction across the globe):



    Still once I had climbed out from behind the sofa I began to listen to what he had to say and was struggling to contain the laughter. He are a few samples:

    "This is a resounding victory tonight, for Gordon Brown and a vote of confidence in the way the government is trying to get us out of recession"

    "The message for the general election is game on"

    "They have backed Gordon Brown in his efforts to secure our economic recovery, they have sent a resounding 'No' to Alex Salmond and his treatment of our great city and a resounding 'No' to David Cameron"

    That level of hyperbole shows just how desperate this government is. If they are trumpeting a victory in a seat that Labour has held since 1935 and in which they regularly polled a percentage well into 60s and even 70s it really does show them as running scared.

    In reality what this election shows is that there is no credible party that represents these people. It was never going to be the Conservatives but the fact that support is lacklustre at best for Labour and the SNP really shows that Labour have failed to represent or improve the conditions of the working man and the SNP have missed the boat on nationalist fervour. Turnout fell to just over 33% with 13% voting for parties other than the main four.

    No party can seek to represent everyone. Those that try end up representing no-one. But the residents of Glasgow North East should include the core supporters of both Labour and the SNP. This should have been a tightly fought contest with high turnout. Instead turnout fell by 12.5% even from the previous election when it was a generally unopposed Speaker seeking re-election.

    Labour should not be cheering this victory they should be running scared. If they cannot even get their supporters out in what should be a very easy seat then they may be reduced beyond recognition at the next election.

    Being a politics student gives you the time, opportunity and in many cases the compulsion to read things one might not ordinarily read in day to day life. It was for these reasons that I found myself last week reading a wide variety of speeches and letters from Stanley Baldwin (Conservative PM in the 20s and 30s). Whatever you think of his politics I think you would struggle not to enjoy reading what he has to say. There is a simple and straightforward tone in his words that makes me think you would still (infuriatingly) like him even if you disagreed with everything he said.

    I would love to reproduce so many of his speeches and letters but I will restrict myself to just one. It is not even one of his best written pieces but it does raise some of the most interesting questions today. It is a letter published anonymously in the Times in June 1919.

    Sir,

    It is now a truism to say that in August, 1914, the nation was face to face with the greatest crisis in her history. She was saved by the freewill offerings of her people. The best of her men rushed to the colours; the best of her women left their homes to spend and be spent; the best of her older men worked as they had never worked before, to a common end, and with a sense of unity and fellowship as new as it was exhilarating. It may be that in four and a half years the ideals of many became dim, but the spiritual impetus of those early days carried the country through to the end.

    Today, on the eve of peace, we are faced with another crisis, less obvious, but none the less searching. The whole country is exhausted. By a natural reaction, not unlike that which led to the excesses of the Restoration after the reign of the Puritans, all classes are in danger of being submerged by a wave of extravagance and materialism. It is so easy to live on borrowed money; so difficult to realise you are doing so.

    It is easy to play; so hard to learn that you cannot play for long without work. A fool's paradise is only the ante-room to a fools hell.

    How can the nation be made to understand the gravity of the financial situation; that love of country is better than love of money?

    This can only be done by example, and the wealthy classes have today an opportunity of service which can never recur.

    They know the danger of the present debt; they know the weight of it in years to come. They know the practical difficulties of a universal statutory capital levy. Let them impose upon themselves, each as he is able a voluntary levy. It should be possible to pay to the Exchequer within twelve months such a sum as would save the taxpayer 50 millions a year.

    I have been considering this matter for nearly two years but my mind moves slowly; I dislike the publicity, and I hoped that someone else might lead the way. I have made as accurate an estimate as I am able of the value of my own estate, and have arrived at a total of about £580,000. I have decided to realise 20 per cent of that amount or, say, £120,000 which will purchase £150,000 of the new War Loan, and present it to the Government for cancellation.

    I give this portion of my estate as a thank-offering in the firm conviction that never again shall we have such a chance of giving our country that form of help which is so vital at the present time

    Yours, etc.,

    F.S.T. (Later revealed to stand for Financial Secretary of the Treasury rather than someone's initials as was presumed at the time)

    I do not necessarily approve of the redistributive tones in the letter but the voluntary nature of it soothes these concerns. Still what does interest me are comparisons with the present day. As far as I know there has been nothing along these lines in the last few months or years. It seems particularly hard to imagine any of the cabinet or indeed any MP making such a sacrifice. It is difficult enough to get them to pay back the money they cheated out of the expenses system let alone any more of their own personal wealth.

    Some would suggest that Baldwin was simply a better class of politician, the sort we will never have in this country again. There might be some truth in that but I think the real reason has to be that it just doesn't seem worth it. I'm not suggesting that any government in the modern era could spend our money in a manner as justifiable as WW1 but the fact is that this government has spent so much of our money and achieved so little.

    Our personal freedoms have been curtailed to near soviet levels and taking your kids to the swings now requires more paperwork than attempting an assault on Everest's eastern face. Our soldiers are dying in distant lands while our Prime Minister sits at home with no clear idea of why they are there, what they need to do it or even what biscuit to dunk as he reads of the latest fatalities. Despite the twisted figures they wave at us it is obvious to anyone who isn't directly affiliated to Labour that over 12 years the NHS is in no better shape, crime is higher, education is falling behind virtually all other western countries, the economy is in the worst shape it has ever been and unemployment is at disgraceful levels.

    The point I'm trying to make is that there may well be some people, or even politicians, who love their country as Stanley Baldwin did. Who would be prepared to sacrifice some of their personal wealth for it's sake. But it's not like that anymore. More than half what they paid would be used just to pay off the interest. The rest would be squandered just like the billions that already has been.

    Stanley Baldwin saw a chance to help his nation. To pay off the war debt and return Britain to it's feet. It cost him dear. The recession of the next decade is estimated to have left him with less than he gave in those early days.

    New Labour were never called upon to spend our money on such an important cause. Thankfully no such war war has broken out for more than 60 years and hopefully it never will. So I am not suggesting they should have acted so strongly to preserve our sovereignty. What I am suggesting is that they should have left our money alone not give away our sovereignty in droves and expect us to foot the bill. Not destroy every institution and characteristic that makes people proud to be British and then tell us what a success they have made of our country. Not plunge us into the longest recession we have ever suffered and then tell us it was a global catastrophe that had nothing to do with their reckless and wasteful borrowing.

    It is an arrogance Mr Baldwin would have detested. I can only hope that his party, over 90 years after his donation can do something to change this situation. They need not spend their own money but they should spend ours in a reasonable and proffesional manner. On things we want not they want. Most importantly though, they should do what they can to bring back the country Stanley Baldwin was once so proud of.
    Fantastic aricle in the Times today from every guardian reader's favourite love-to-hate TV presenter.

    "It’s no good putting Peter Mandelson in a prison. I’m afraid he will have to be tied to the front of a van and driven round the country until he isn’t alive any more"

    "all the [university] places will be taken by Albanians and guillemots and whatever other stupid bandwagon the conniving idiot has leapt onto in the meantime"

    "They see Alistair Darling handing over £4,350 of their money to not sort out the banking crisis that he doesn’t understand because he’s a small-town solicitor"

    "They see the stupid war on drugs and the war on drink and the war on smoking and the war on hunting and the war on fun"

    "They got rid of Blair only to find the lying twerp is now going to come back even more powerful than ever, and they think, “I’ve had enough of this. I’m off.”"

    "Britain now is worse than it’s been for decades, but the lunatics who’ve made it so ghastly are on their way out"

    I'd quote more but I'm already at risk of just stealing the whole article. I can't even think of anything more to add. Just read it, it's fantastic. Find it here.
    An interesting interview with Cameron in the Evening Standard today. You can read the whole thing here but if you are, like me, getting fed up of reading interviewers describing him as "surprisingly candid", "at ease with himself" or "refreshingly normal and open" then here are a few points of intrigue:

    "I've always thought that the fear of getting things wrong inspires me more than the wonder of getting things right"

    I see what he is trying to say but it does not suggest he is going to be the risk taking, radical PM that is being called for in some spheres. Instead we might just be getting more on the safe side, popular policy which does nothing to tackle the mess we are in. Or maybe I'm reading too much into it.

    "[George Osborne] stayed in my shadow cabinet not because he is a friend, not because we are godfathers to each other's children but because he is the right person to do the job. I know and he knows that if that was not the case he would not be there"

    Suggests he might have more guts than he has been previously credited for although I'll believe this when I see it.

    On European policy: "This issue has been toxic and divisive and I was determined we would have a policy that was solid, robust, believable and credible, not just in the glare of 24-hour media but for five years of the Government we hope to lead"

    As many might have predicted I disagree here. You can read my policy suggestion here although I never really expected him to go that far. Still what he did offer struck me as a raft of empty or unfulfillable promises and a media friendly but genuinely weak strategy. Unless he beefs it up before the election I dare say there might be a few more Tory Outcasts popping up. At the moment it's just Stuart Wheeler and me (although Tebbit does pop by from time to time). We shall see...

    "We will not go into some Euro bust-up. The biggest problem facing the country is the economy, the deficit and getting the recovery going"

    Again I would have to disagree. For a start the two are not seperate issues but intrinsically linked. Really want ot reduce the budget deficit? At the very least get our rebate back if your not going to leave. Secondly he seems to think he has stopped a "euro bust-up". I hope he doesn't believe that because what he has done is unlikely to do anything other than postpone it. Impending victory is very effective in pulling the party together but post election this issue will come up again whether Cameron likes it or not.
    Lots of chatter today on Cameron's apparent betrayal on his referendum promise. In typical fashion I'm coming late to this but do have one suggestion that I have not seen put forward anywhere else yet.

    I'm in agreement with Iain Dale in the opinion that a referendum after ratification is a pointless act. However I would not go as far as calling for an immediate in out referendum as Dizzy and Tory Bear do.

    The answer I believe is somewhere in between. If elected I would suggest the Conservatives hold an immediate referendum. Not on the treaty or membership but on a set of demands. They should select the parts of the treaty (and of the union as a whole) with which they have particular objection and from these create a list of points which they want to be adressed. This could be powers they wish to be repatriated, processes they want changed or a rebate they want back. They should then take this list to the electorate and ask a question along the lines of:

    Are you happy to let things lie as they are post Lisbon treaty or do you want us to renegotiate on your behalf along the lines we have laid out?

    I would wager that this would pass and give Cameron and co a very strong mandate to go to Brussels and submit their list of demands. When they do so they should make clear that if these demands are not met within a parliamentary term then they will hold a referendum on our membership. It is my belief that if the EU failed to meet our demands after such a clear act of democracy then we would vote to leave.

    This being the case I would suggest that our demands, or at least the majority of them would be met. Unlike previous negotiations with the EU where we have asked for reform and only recieved a weak unbinding promise only for it to be dropped a few months later (in the last case in exchange for our rebate) this would be a method of achieving real change.

    The EU, despite what is said in some spheres, wants us as a member. Our trade is worth more to them than theirs is to us and our budget contributions certainly are. It is about time they did something to recognise this and Cameron now has a chance to force their hand. Has he got the guts to?

    Update: it seems he does not. Telegraph reports here.
     
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